Seasonality
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Oct is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Oct averages +5.7% with a 83% win rate across 5 years of history.
Dec shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Dec averages -2.3% with only a 50% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +5.9% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -0.7% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 155 of the year, the current YTD return is -27.8% vs the historical average for the same point.
LDOS - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.37% | -7.00% | -10.96% | -4.05% | -14.35% | -19.14% | 12.27% | 24.42% | ||||
| 2025 | -1.41% | -8.49% | 4.14% | 9.07% | 0.91% | 6.51% | 1.20% | 13.32% | 4.67% | 0.80% | 0.33% | -5.38% |
| 2024 | 2.06% | 15.74% | 2.83% | 6.96% | 4.87% | -0.53% | -1.01% | 9.77% | 3.09% | 12.37% | -9.70% | -12.67% |
| 2023 | -6.04% | -1.79% | -4.79% | 1.30% | -16.30% | 13.84% | 5.71% | 4.26% | -5.13% | 7.55% | 8.27% | 1.21% |
| 2022 | 0.62% | 13.85% | 6.44% | -4.18% | 0.96% | -3.28% | 6.25% | -11.17% | -7.62% | 16.14% | 7.62% | -3.46% |
| 2021 | 0.89% | -16.60% | 9.24% | 5.19% | 1.45% | -1.29% | 5.26% | -7.81% | -1.66% | 4.00% | -12.07% | 1.53% |
| 2020 | 2.17% | -10.36% | 7.81% | 6.56% | -10.73% | 1.59% | -4.91% | -1.10% | -6.90% | 21.33% | 4.73% | |
| Avg | 0.08% | -0.30% | -0.49% | 3.16% | -2.27% | -2.09% | 4.46% | 0.58% | -1.29% | 5.66% | 2.63% | -2.34% |
LDOS - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
LDOS Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
LDOS Distribution of Daily % Changes