Seasonality
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Apr is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Apr averages +5.2% with a 86% win rate across 5 years of history.
Sep shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Sep averages -4.9% with only a 33% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +5.4% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +0.6% historically, with January alone posting a 17% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 181 of the year, the current YTD return is +4.4% vs the historical average for the same point.
KHC - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
KHC - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
KHC Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -2.10% | 3.66% | -7.08% | 0.76% | 5.96% | 0.16% | 9.44% | -0.70% | -5.84% | |||
| 2025 | -2.83% | 2.92% | 0.37% | -4.37% | -6.76% | -3.40% | 6.35% | 3.35% | -6.90% | -5.03% | 4.79% | -4.94% |
| 2024 | 0.41% | -4.98% | 5.79% | 4.63% | -8.39% | -7.84% | 9.28% | 1.78% | -0.90% | -4.70% | -3.24% | -3.94% |
| 2023 | -0.44% | -3.92% | 0.35% | 1.55% | -2.67% | -6.14% | 1.92% | -7.44% | 1.66% | -6.48% | 12.89% | 5.33% |
| 2022 | -0.28% | 9.55% | 1.50% | 8.23% | -10.36% | 0.82% | -3.43% | 2.60% | -10.83% | 15.35% | 3.35% | 3.46% |
| 2021 | -3.32% | 8.56% | 11.07% | 3.23% | 6.53% | -6.45% | -5.66% | -5.40% | 2.31% | -2.53% | -5.30% | 6.81% |
| 2020 | -15.17% | 1.60% | 22.59% | 1.77% | 4.66% | 7.81% | 3.09% | -14.53% | 2.14% | 8.97% | 5.22% | |
| Avg | -1.43% | 0.09% | 1.94% | 5.23% | -1.99% | -2.60% | 3.67% | -0.39% | -4.87% | -0.21% | 3.58% | 1.99% |
KHC Distribution of Daily % Changes