Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Jul is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Jul averages +3.5% with a 86% win rate across 5 years of history.
Sep shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Sep averages -1.6% with only a 33% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +4.4% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +3.3% historically, with January alone posting a 83% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 181 of the year, the current YTD return is +30.6% vs the historical average for the same point.
JNJ - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
JNJ - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
JNJ Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9.81% | 9.90% | -1.61% | -5.97% | -1.40% | 12.71% | 0.94% | 4.22% | 1.25% | |||
| 2025 | 5.21% | 9.33% | 0.50% | -5.75% | 0.15% | -1.58% | 7.85% | 8.33% | 4.66% | 1.86% | 10.25% | 0.01% |
| 2024 | 1.38% | 2.33% | -1.98% | -8.60% | 2.26% | -0.35% | 8.00% | 5.87% | -2.29% | -1.36% | -2.26% | -6.70% |
| 2023 | -7.49% | -5.54% | 1.14% | 5.61% | -4.56% | 6.75% | 1.21% | -2.79% | -3.67% | -4.76% | 5.10% | 1.34% |
| 2022 | 0.71% | -3.87% | 7.69% | 1.82% | 0.12% | -1.13% | -1.68% | -6.93% | 1.25% | 6.49% | 2.98% | -0.76% |
| 2021 | 3.65% | -2.26% | 3.72% | -0.99% | 4.66% | -2.66% | 4.53% | 1.14% | -6.72% | 0.85% | -3.64% | 9.71% |
| 2020 | -9.09% | -2.49% | 14.42% | -0.17% | -5.46% | 3.65% | 5.95% | -2.95% | -7.91% | 6.25% | 8.78% | |
| Avg | 2.21% | 0.11% | 1.00% | 0.08% | 0.15% | 1.18% | 3.50% | 2.26% | -1.62% | -0.80% | 3.11% | 2.06% |
JNJ Distribution of Daily % Changes