Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -24.54% | -18.02% | 5.71% | -9.87% | -14.66% | -21.27% | 21.64% | 9.36% | ||||
| 2025 | -4.14% | 2.05% | 0.02% | 2.37% | 20.08% | 4.53% | -0.18% | -15.05% | 2.39% | -2.07% | -5.01% | 4.47% |
| 2024 | 1.16% | 5.00% | -1.94% | -3.62% | -7.86% | 14.01% | -1.36% | -2.64% | -1.47% | -1.56% | 5.15% | -2.06% |
| 2023 | 8.81% | -3.66% | 9.49% | -0.24% | -5.59% | 9.32% | 11.87% | 5.88% | -5.70% | -2.96% | 15.46% | 9.37% |
| 2022 | -13.58% | -14.56% | 1.36% | -12.79% | -1.02% | -7.00% | 18.55% | -5.35% | -10.30% | 10.58% | -4.66% | -4.51% |
| 2021 | -4.75% | 8.00% | -1.81% | 7.75% | 6.53% | 11.63% | 8.25% | 6.82% | -4.70% | 16.18% | 4.20% | -1.39% |
| 2020 | -5.18% | -13.49% | 17.56% | 7.60% | 2.02% | 3.61% | 12.74% | -5.55% | -3.36% | 11.87% | 7.91% | |
| Avg | -6.17% | -3.77% | -0.09% | 0.17% | 0.72% | 1.89% | 8.91% | 0.40% | -4.22% | 2.80% | 4.50% | 2.30% |
INTU - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
Jul is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Jul averages +8.9% with a 71% win rate across 5 years of history.
Jan shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Jan averages -6.2% with only a 33% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +9.6% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -10.0% historically, with January alone posting a 33% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 155 of the year, the current YTD return is -48.3% vs the historical average for the same point.
INTU - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
INTU Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
INTU Distribution of Daily % Changes