Seasonality
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INTC - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 25.93% | -1.85% | -3.24% | 114.09% | 21.38% | 21.76% | -35.40% | 13.64% | ||||
| 2025 | -3.09% | 22.13% | -4.30% | -11.49% | -2.74% | 14.58% | -11.61% | 22.98% | 37.78% | 19.20% | 1.43% | -9.02% |
| 2024 | -14.27% | 0.22% | 2.60% | -31.02% | 1.66% | 0.39% | -0.74% | -27.85% | 6.44% | -8.27% | 11.76% | -16.63% |
| 2023 | 6.92% | -10.71% | 31.05% | -4.93% | 1.64% | 6.36% | 6.97% | -1.41% | 1.17% | 2.67% | 22.87% | 12.42% |
| 2022 | -5.20% | -1.55% | 3.90% | -12.05% | 2.71% | -15.78% | -2.94% | -11.20% | -19.27% | 10.32% | 7.20% | -12.11% |
| 2021 | 11.42% | 10.16% | 5.30% | -10.11% | -0.10% | -1.72% | -4.31% | 1.29% | -1.44% | -8.03% | 1.11% | 4.67% |
| 2020 | -12.73% | -2.52% | 10.83% | 5.51% | -4.93% | -20.22% | 7.47% | 1.63% | -14.48% | 9.99% | 3.04% | |
| Avg | 3.62% | 0.81% | 4.68% | 7.90% | 4.29% | 2.95% | -9.75% | -1.45% | 4.39% | 0.23% | 9.06% | -2.94% |
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +9.1% with a 100% win rate across 5 years of history.
Jul shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Jul averages -9.8% with only a 14% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q2 (Apr–May–Jun) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q2 combine for a +15.2% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +9.1% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 155 of the year, the current YTD return is +163.8% vs the historical average for the same point.
INTC - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
INTC Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
INTC Distribution of Daily % Changes