Seasonality
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7.99% | -7.76% | -7.70% | 33.82% | -1.16% | -5.98% | -0.35% | -2.87% | ||||
| 2025 | 7.78% | -16.54% | -9.08% | 2.69% | 8.15% | 2.74% | 8.89% | 10.95% | 14.28% | 15.67% | 13.87% | -2.18% |
| 2024 | 0.29% | -1.17% | 9.01% | 7.85% | 5.97% | 5.72% | -5.82% | -4.76% | 1.65% | 3.17% | -1.26% | 12.17% |
| 2023 | 12.03% | -8.88% | 15.18% | 3.48% | 14.47% | -2.58% | 10.88% | 2.60% | -3.90% | -5.18% | 6.81% | 5.40% |
| 2022 | -6.59% | -0.18% | 2.97% | -17.95% | -0.30% | -4.22% | 6.75% | -6.96% | -11.62% | -1.19% | 6.86% | -12.63% |
| 2021 | 4.26% | 10.65% | 2.01% | 14.11% | 0.14% | 3.60% | 10.35% | 7.40% | -7.62% | 10.75% | -4.15% | 2.08% |
| 2020 | -6.53% | -13.24% | 15.90% | 6.45% | -1.08% | 4.93% | 9.52% | -10.06% | 10.27% | 8.56% | -0.10% | |
| Avg | 4.29% | -4.35% | -0.12% | 8.56% | 4.82% | -0.26% | 5.09% | 3.12% | -2.88% | 5.58% | 5.11% | 0.79% |
Apr is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Apr averages +8.6% with a 86% win rate across 5 years of history.
Feb shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Feb averages -4.3% with only a 14% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q2 (Apr–May–Jun) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q2 combine for a +13.1% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -0.2% historically, with January alone posting a 83% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 155 of the year, the current YTD return is -4.5% vs the historical average for the same point.
GOOGL - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
GOOGL - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
GOOGL Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
GOOGL Distribution of Daily % Changes