Seasonality
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Apr is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Apr averages +9.0% with a 86% win rate across 5 years of history.
Feb shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Feb averages -4.5% with only a 14% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q2 (Apr–May–Jun) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q2 combine for a +13.3% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -0.0% historically, with January alone posting a 83% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 155 of the year, the current YTD return is -5.9% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7.88% | -8.01% | -7.82% | 33.15% | -1.44% | -6.08% | 0.94% | -3.68% | ||||
| 2025 | 7.96% | -16.24% | -9.18% | 2.98% | 7.43% | 2.75% | 8.72% | 10.72% | 14.16% | 15.71% | 13.59% | -1.91% |
| 2024 | 0.62% | -1.42% | 8.93% | 8.13% | 5.66% | 5.56% | -5.60% | -4.64% | 1.39% | 3.29% | -1.27% | 11.83% |
| 2023 | 12.55% | -9.58% | 15.17% | 4.06% | 14.00% | -1.95% | 10.04% | 3.19% | -4.00% | -4.97% | 6.88% | 5.23% |
| 2022 | -6.21% | -0.60% | 3.53% | -17.68% | -0.81% | -4.09% | 6.64% | -6.42% | -11.91% | -1.55% | 7.17% | -12.54% |
| 2021 | 4.79% | 10.96% | 1.56% | 16.51% | 0.06% | 3.93% | 7.90% | 7.57% | -8.38% | 11.26% | -3.92% | 1.56% |
| 2020 | -6.62% | -13.18% | 15.98% | 5.95% | -1.07% | 4.91% | 10.20% | -10.07% | 10.30% | 8.62% | -0.50% | |
| Avg | 4.60% | -4.50% | -0.14% | 9.02% | 4.41% | -0.14% | 4.79% | 3.43% | -3.14% | 5.67% | 5.18% | 0.61% |
GOOG - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
GOOG - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
GOOG Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
GOOG Distribution of Daily % Changes