Seasonality
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May is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
May averages +18.8% with a 86% win rate across 5 years of history.
Jul shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Jul averages -2.5% with only a 71% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q2 (Apr–May–Jun) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q2 combine for a +32.6% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +4.8% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 155 of the year, the current YTD return is +73.8% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -5.84% | -15.73% | 4.95% | 14.17% | 63.99% | 4.40% | 0.04% | 13.67% | ||||
| 2025 | 16.34% | -2.11% | -9.52% | 21.64% | 9.91% | 8.05% | -10.75% | -6.79% | 15.74% | 10.73% | -6.23% | -7.93% |
| 2024 | 14.56% | 10.82% | -1.10% | -8.75% | 7.22% | 22.16% | -39.47% | 19.54% | 1.15% | 5.85% | 16.54% | -1.10% |
| 2023 | 0.58% | 13.97% | 13.73% | -12.54% | 33.39% | -8.28% | 10.07% | 0.85% | 2.67% | 5.61% | 34.07% | 7.73% |
| 2022 | -11.78% | 8.07% | 16.33% | -12.47% | -19.51% | 5.36% | 8.92% | -0.54% | -9.75% | -2.19% | -27.02% | -10.51% |
| 2021 | 1.88% | 0.09% | -15.50% | 14.25% | 6.54% | 13.13% | 0.92% | 10.80% | -12.53% | 14.66% | -22.95% | -5.71% |
| 2020 | -2.37% | -6.64% | 21.52% | 29.78% | 14.21% | 12.87% | 11.07% | 9.22% | -9.82% | 23.77% | 38.19% | |
| Avg | 2.63% | 1.82% | 0.32% | 5.40% | 18.76% | 8.43% | -2.48% | 5.82% | 1.08% | 4.14% | 3.03% | 3.45% |
CRWD - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
CRWD - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
CRWD Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
CRWD Distribution of Daily % Changes