Seasonality
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 11.19% | -8.84% | -21.06% | -3.94% | -3.58% | 17.34% | -25.75% | 9.14% | ||||
| 2025 | 17.04% | -16.91% | -10.11% | -4.25% | -9.99% | 8.37% | 8.95% | 9.09% | -12.57% | -4.19% | -3.39% | -8.32% |
| 2024 | 4.07% | 12.35% | 6.85% | -12.34% | -12.05% | -13.92% | 20.92% | 3.96% | 11.41% | -11.59% | 8.79% | -23.35% |
| 2023 | 22.84% | 6.37% | 4.72% | 6.75% | 22.35% | 17.29% | 6.20% | 0.42% | -14.17% | -12.83% | 23.58% | 24.48% |
| 2022 | -20.67% | 9.46% | -13.28% | -4.60% | 5.72% | -17.50% | 26.63% | -13.81% | 0.53% | 4.65% | 3.68% | 1.49% |
| 2021 | -6.27% | 13.12% | 7.16% | 4.96% | -8.49% | -4.22% | 4.31% | 19.75% | -2.91% | 12.62% | 19.17% | 23.43% |
| 2020 | -8.43% | -46.15% | 50.04% | 13.41% | -0.53% | 14.44% | 29.25% | 6.53% | -7.11% | 23.47% | 9.09% | |
| Avg | 4.70% | 1.02% | -10.27% | 5.23% | 1.05% | 0.98% | 7.96% | 8.11% | -1.86% | -3.07% | 12.55% | 4.47% |
BLDR Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
BLDR Distribution of Daily % Changes
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +12.5% with a 83% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -10.3% with only a 43% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q3 (Jul–Aug–Sep) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q3 combine for a +14.2% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -4.5% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 155 of the year, the current YTD return is -37.9% vs the historical average for the same point.
BLDR - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
BLDR - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years