Seasonality
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 20.64% | 4.71% | 0.73% | 9.56% | -10.31% | -23.27% | -12.88% | 15.73% | ||||
| 2025 | -2.20% | -8.50% | -5.98% | -18.70% | -4.77% | 13.13% | 8.27% | 25.16% | -4.00% | 21.15% | 32.33% | 9.14% |
| 2024 | -20.58% | 20.14% | -4.13% | -8.68% | 1.90% | -21.79% | -1.94% | -3.65% | 5.42% | 0.02% | 13.69% | -19.76% |
| 2023 | 29.78% | -9.64% | -12.92% | -16.10% | 4.35% | 15.48% | -4.85% | -6.39% | -14.24% | -25.44% | -4.35% | 19.48% |
| 2022 | -5.57% | -11.26% | 13.13% | -12.81% | 35.05% | -19.63% | 16.91% | 9.68% | -1.19% | 5.83% | -0.67% | -21.87% |
| 2021 | 10.26% | -3.35% | -6.82% | 15.10% | -0.65% | 1.05% | 22.31% | 14.90% | -7.35% | 14.39% | 6.40% | -12.14% |
| 2020 | 1.96% | -30.75% | 8.98% | 24.56% | 1.37% | 6.80% | 10.37% | -1.51% | 4.40% | 45.87% | 8.79% | |
| Avg | 5.39% | -0.85% | -6.68% | -3.23% | 7.16% | -4.81% | 4.95% | 8.34% | -3.81% | 3.39% | 15.55% | -2.73% |
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +15.5% with a 67% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -6.7% with only a 29% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +16.2% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -2.1% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 155 of the year, the current YTD return is +1.3% vs the historical average for the same point.
ALB Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
ALB Distribution of Daily % Changes
ALB - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
ALB - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years