Seasonality
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Apr is the seasonally strongest month over 2Y.
Apr averages +33.8% with a 100% win rate across 2 years of history.
Feb shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Feb averages -23.9% with only a 0% win rate across 2 years of history.
Q2 (Apr–May–Jun) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q2 combine for a +75.6% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -54.1% historically, with January alone posting a 0% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 2Y seasonal average.
At day 182 of the year, the current YTD return is +121.4% vs the historical average for the same point.
ALAB - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
2 years of data
ALAB - Average returns for the respective month in the last 3 years
ALAB Distribution of Daily Returns from 2024 to 2026
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -9.46% | -21.11% | -7.77% | 77.68% | 76.06% | 40.88% | -35.57% | -4.58% | 21.38% | |||
| 2025 | -23.43% | -26.69% | -19.74% | 9.45% | 38.91% | -0.33% | 51.22% | 33.26% | 7.46% | -4.66% | -15.59% | 5.58% |
| 2024 | 14.25% | -23.86% | -6.24% | -27.55% | -1.78% | 21.67% | 33.92% | 47.16% | 28.28% | |||
| Avg | -16.44% | -23.90% | -13.76% | 33.79% | 30.37% | 11.44% | -3.97% | 8.97% | 14.57% | 14.63% | 15.79% | 16.93% |
ALAB Distribution of Daily % Changes