Seasonality
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Jul is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Jul averages +8.1% with a 71% win rate across 5 years of history.
Feb shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Feb averages -5.1% with only a 14% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +8.5% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -10.0% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 155 of the year, the current YTD return is -6.6% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -14.57% | -2.77% | -2.63% | -1.00% | -2.40% | -15.95% | 20.46% | 7.46% | ||||
| 2025 | 5.34% | -11.93% | -4.53% | 4.76% | 7.97% | 4.54% | -2.09% | 3.82% | 0.94% | -5.14% | 0.66% | -2.42% |
| 2024 | 4.24% | 1.72% | 0.87% | -18.27% | -5.29% | 22.74% | 0.03% | 4.40% | 6.61% | 3.02% | 2.85% | 1.26% |
| 2023 | 15.14% | -7.65% | 4.77% | -6.42% | 2.36% | 2.62% | 3.61% | 4.69% | -6.77% | -4.49% | 10.52% | 11.47% |
| 2022 | -11.17% | -11.83% | -2.67% | -11.70% | 9.76% | -17.23% | 25.80% | -6.74% | -7.41% | 14.72% | -5.76% | -7.47% |
| 2021 | -9.14% | -0.52% | 0.42% | 5.33% | -2.07% | 2.11% | 10.01% | -3.44% | -8.04% | 11.38% | -19.97% | 10.62% |
| 2020 | -3.03% | -18.22% | 19.88% | 12.42% | 13.69% | -1.15% | 3.92% | -5.98% | 1.96% | 18.97% | 8.96% | |
| Avg | -1.69% | -5.14% | -3.14% | -1.06% | 3.25% | 1.79% | 8.10% | 1.11% | -3.44% | 3.58% | 1.21% | 3.74% |
ADSK - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
ADSK - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
ADSK Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
ADSK Distribution of Daily % Changes