Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +7.5% with a 67% win rate across 5 years of history.
Aug shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Aug averages -11.3% with only a 57% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +19.6% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -2.6% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -16.4% vs the historical average for the same point.
PVF-UN.V - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.56% | -7.46% | 2.57% | -4.07% | 3.16% | 2.06% | -2.02% | 2.35% | -8.05% | -3.13% | ||
| 2025 | -6.25% | -1.33% | 1.34% | -13.33% | 11.50% | -5.52% | 8.98% | -88.27% | 2.80% | 8.39% | -7.69% | 0.00% |
| 2024 | 11.64% | -0.11% | -7.16% | -14.77% | 14.27% | -0.82% | 7.06% | 4.40% | 1.04% | 31.37% | 11.02% | 14.29% |
| 2023 | 10.77% | 0.69% | -11.72% | 3.13% | 1.14% | 1.12% | 8.15% | -5.55% | -6.45% | -5.30% | 8.05% | 28.79% |
| 2022 | -8.64% | 5.41% | -2.44% | -2.94% | -7.93% | 2.94% | -5.00% | 3.01% | -0.73% | -11.76% | 15.00% | -5.80% |
| 2021 | 1.20% | 10.56% | 2.42% | -3.51% | 10.73% | 7.31% | 0.38% | 7.37% | -0.07% | 9.98% | -2.60% | 8.00% |
| 2020 | -3.23% | -18.36% | -1.19% | 0.13% | 10.51% | -12.75% | -2.25% | 1.15% | -4.55% | 21.43% | -1.15% | |
| Avg | 1.54% | 0.65% | -4.76% | -5.24% | 4.71% | 2.51% | 0.69% | -11.28% | -1.47% | 4.69% | 7.54% | 7.35% |
PVF-UN.V - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
PVF-UN.V Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
PVF-UN.V Distribution of Daily % Changes