Seasonality
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Seasonality
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Dec is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Dec averages +20.7% with a 83% win rate across 5 years of history.
Jun shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Jun averages -11.2% with only a 14% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q1 (Jan–Feb–Mar) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q1 combine for a +31.3% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +31.3% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +3.1% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 20.71% | 18.34% | -15.00% | 36.47% | 15.95% | -17.84% | 5.43% | 14.16% | -16.54% | -18.47% | ||
| 2025 | 47.92% | -1.41% | 25.71% | 0.00% | 20.45% | 3.77% | 40.00% | 19.48% | 46.74% | -12.59% | 10.17% | 7.69% |
| 2024 | -26.67% | 63.64% | 83.33% | -12.12% | -3.45% | -21.43% | 22.73% | 18.52% | 9.38% | -2.86% | 0.00% | 41.18% |
| 2023 | 15.38% | -6.67% | -14.29% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -25.00% | 0.00% | -11.11% | 0.00% | 75.00% | 7.14% |
| 2022 | 5.00% | 9.52% | 0.00% | -8.70% | -23.81% | -37.50% | 30.00% | 7.69% | -7.14% | 0.00% | -23.08% | 30.00% |
| 2021 | -17.02% | -2.56% | 5.26% | -15.00% | 5.88% | -5.56% | -11.76% | -13.33% | -15.38% | 18.18% | -23.08% | 0.00% |
| 2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 13.33% | 38.24% | |
| Avg | 7.55% | 11.55% | 12.15% | 0.09% | 2.15% | -11.22% | 8.77% | 6.65% | 0.85% | 0.46% | 8.72% | 20.71% |
OMG.V - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
OMG.V - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
OMG.V Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
OMG.V Distribution of Daily % Changes