Seasonality
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Seasonality
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Apr is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Apr averages +10.5% with a 43% win rate across 5 years of history.
Jan shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Jan averages -7.2% with only a 17% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q2 (Apr–May–Jun) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q2 combine for a +10.7% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -14.1% historically, with January alone posting a 17% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -12.7% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.27% | 27.78% | -34.78% | -1.33% | -1.35% | -19.18% | 1.69% | 21.67% | -2.05% | -14.69% | ||
| 2025 | -4.35% | -1.52% | 1.54% | 15.15% | 1.32% | -3.90% | -1.35% | 54.79% | 47.79% | -16.17% | 7.14% | 17.33% |
| 2024 | -22.22% | -14.29% | 16.67% | 42.86% | 20.00% | -12.50% | 0.00% | -4.76% | 1.25% | -3.70% | -17.95% | 7.81% |
| 2023 | -3.13% | -6.45% | 20.69% | -8.57% | -12.50% | -3.57% | 0.00% | -7.41% | -32.00% | -17.65% | 28.57% | 0.00% |
| 2022 | -10.39% | 7.25% | -8.11% | -8.82% | -24.19% | -17.02% | 5.13% | -9.76% | -18.92% | 0.00% | 6.67% | 0.00% |
| 2021 | -5.19% | -32.03% | 5.75% | -5.43% | 5.75% | -2.17% | -2.22% | -1.14% | -18.39% | 12.68% | -6.25% | 2.67% |
| 2020 | -17.86% | -13.04% | 40.00% | 14.29% | 56.25% | 8.00% | -8.02% | -2.68% | -5.52% | -0.73% | -0.74% | |
| Avg | -7.17% | -5.30% | -1.61% | 10.55% | 0.47% | -0.30% | 1.61% | 6.48% | -3.57% | -5.06% | 2.91% | 4.51% |
NEXG.V - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
NEXG.V - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
NEXG.V Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
NEXG.V Distribution of Daily % Changes