Seasonality
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Seasonality
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Jan is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Jan averages +30.4% with a 83% win rate across 5 years of history.
Jun shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Jun averages -3.8% with only a 43% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q1 (Jan–Feb–Mar) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q1 combine for a +32.0% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +32.0% historically, with January alone posting a 83% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 205 of the year, the current YTD return is -40.5% vs the historical average for the same point.
KRY.V - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19.25% | 30.53% | -15.59% | -3.50% | -0.66% | 10.30% | -7.23% | 15.26% | -1.13% | -15.95% | ||
| 2025 | 17.00% | 4.27% | -8.20% | -15.18% | 1.05% | 14.58% | -6.36% | -2.91% | 23.00% | 41.46% | -2.30% | 40.59% |
| 2024 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 37.50% | 72.73% | -6.32% | -7.87% | 6.10% | 40.23% | -13.93% | -0.95% | -3.85% |
| 2023 | 40.00% | -14.29% | 33.33% | 12.50% | -22.22% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -14.29% | 0.00% | -16.67% | 0.00% | -20.00% |
| 2022 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 16.67% | 0.00% | -28.57% | -20.00% | 25.00% | -20.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 25.00% |
| 2021 | 6.25% | 41.18% | -8.33% | 9.09% | -16.67% | -75.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 20.00% | 50.00% | -11.11% | -25.00% |
| 2020 | -28.57% | -40.00% | 66.67% | 60.00% | 50.00% | -8.33% | 0.00% | -9.09% | 10.00% | 18.18% | 23.08% | |
| Avg | 30.42% | 4.73% | -3.16% | 15.30% | 9.38% | -3.78% | -0.68% | -2.26% | 10.43% | 11.81% | 0.64% | 6.64% |
KRY.V - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
KRY.V Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
KRY.V Distribution of Daily % Changes