Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
HITI.V - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
HITI.V - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
HITI.V Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
HITI.V Distribution of Daily % Changes
Aug is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Aug averages +18.8% with a 100% win rate across 5 years of history.
Jul shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Jul averages -11.3% with only a 14% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q1 (Jan–Feb–Mar) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q1 combine for a +14.4% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +14.4% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -5.0% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -17.17% | 13.16% | -7.85% | 4.42% | 2.72% | -5.00% | -8.05% | 17.17% | 11.78% | -6.56% | ||
| 2025 | -11.09% | -6.62% | -25.34% | 21.90% | -7.78% | 1.95% | -3.82% | 63.58% | 2.63% | -13.61% | -17.12% | 1.10% |
| 2024 | 20.19% | -7.42% | 13.92% | 17.04% | 7.91% | -11.14% | -15.18% | 6.61% | 1.09% | 41.16% | 13.30% | -0.23% |
| 2023 | 1.44% | -11.79% | -2.14% | -1.64% | -1.67% | -6.21% | 3.61% | 12.79% | 28.87% | -20.40% | 5.03% | 1.91% |
| 2022 | -1.68% | 4.36% | 3.27% | -20.04% | -22.64% | -26.14% | -29.23% | 4.89% | -1.04% | 3.66% | 26.77% | -16.73% |
| 2021 | 100.00% | 50.98% | 14.29% | -25.00% | 18.18% | -15.81% | -16.75% | 12.80% | -14.38% | -15.15% | 18.45% | -32.54% |
| 2020 | -25.00% | -20.00% | 12.50% | 29.63% | -8.57% | -9.38% | 13.79% | 0.00% | 3.03% | 5.88% | 41.67% | |
| Avg | 15.28% | 2.52% | -3.41% | 1.31% | 3.76% | -10.13% | -11.26% | 18.81% | 4.14% | -0.22% | 8.72% | -0.80% |