Seasonality
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Seasonality
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Jan is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Jan averages +33.3% with a 83% win rate across 5 years of history.
Feb shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Feb averages -8.4% with only a 43% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q1 (Jan–Feb–Mar) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q1 combine for a +23.4% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +23.4% historically, with January alone posting a 83% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 205 of the year, the current YTD return is +13.0% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 87.38% | 7.24% | -26.78% | 20.71% | 7.51% | -18.95% | -2.15% | 8.18% | -11.34% | -14.75% | ||
| 2025 | 27.63% | 13.40% | -13.64% | -9.47% | -2.33% | -7.14% | -5.13% | 2.70% | 31.58% | -13.00% | 5.75% | 14.13% |
| 2024 | 22.22% | -33.33% | 59.09% | 45.71% | -3.92% | 32.65% | 9.23% | 1.41% | 2.78% | -10.81% | -6.06% | 22.58% |
| 2023 | 59.26% | -23.26% | -6.06% | 6.45% | -27.27% | -29.17% | 0.00% | 11.76% | -31.58% | 15.38% | 20.00% | -25.00% |
| 2022 | -15.09% | 8.89% | -3.06% | -9.47% | -39.53% | 15.38% | 5.00% | -11.11% | 28.57% | -8.33% | -9.09% | -10.00% |
| 2021 | 18.18% | -12.31% | 1.75% | -14.66% | 41.41% | 7.14% | -16.00% | -7.94% | -17.24% | 25.00% | -18.33% | 8.16% |
| 2020 | -19.57% | -21.62% | 24.14% | 37.50% | -29.29% | 62.86% | -7.02% | -8.49% | 9.28% | 22.64% | -15.38% | |
| Avg | 33.26% | -8.42% | -1.47% | 9.06% | 1.91% | -4.20% | 7.69% | -0.29% | -0.82% | 2.92% | 2.48% | -0.92% |
GSKR.V - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
GSKR.V - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
GSKR.V Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
GSKR.V Distribution of Daily % Changes