Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Oct is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Oct averages +19.5% with a 50% win rate across 5 years of history.
Jun shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Jun averages -5.5% with only a 43% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +16.6% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +0.9% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +20.8% vs the historical average for the same point.
CDPR.V - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 42.86% | 5.71% | 1.35% | -12.00% | -4.55% | -3.17% | -8.20% | 37.50% | -5.19% | -10.96% | ||
| 2025 | 1.72% | -11.86% | 16.35% | -0.83% | 25.00% | 16.00% | 2.30% | 1.12% | 11.11% | -4.00% | -2.08% | 4.26% |
| 2024 | -4.76% | -10.00% | 5.56% | 0.00% | 68.42% | -25.00% | 12.50% | 0.00% | 18.52% | 112.50% | -5.88% | -9.38% |
| 2023 | 4.55% | 8.70% | -16.00% | 4.76% | 27.27% | -14.29% | -8.33% | -9.09% | -5.00% | -15.79% | 0.00% | 31.25% |
| 2022 | -7.84% | 6.38% | -8.00% | 2.17% | -8.51% | 2.33% | -13.64% | -5.26% | -25.00% | -11.11% | 4.17% | -12.00% |
| 2021 | -6.49% | 1.39% | -5.48% | 7.25% | 2.70% | -21.05% | -3.33% | -8.62% | 9.43% | 5.17% | -13.11% | -3.77% |
| 2020 | -11.90% | -10.81% | -4.55% | -4.76% | 6.67% | 21.88% | -3.85% | -12.00% | 30.30% | -2.33% | -8.33% | |
| Avg | 5.00% | -1.66% | -2.43% | -0.46% | 15.08% | -5.50% | 0.45% | 1.69% | -1.16% | 19.51% | -3.21% | 0.34% |
CDPR.V - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
CDPR.V Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
CDPR.V Distribution of Daily % Changes