Seasonality
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Seasonality
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Jan is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Jan averages +26.9% with a 50% win rate across 5 years of history.
Sep shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Sep averages -17.0% with only a 14% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q1 (Jan–Feb–Mar) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q1 combine for a +14.8% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +14.8% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +14.0% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 126.67% | -11.76% | -0.67% | 19.46% | -35.39% | -20.87% | -17.58% | 32.00% | -23.23% | -10.53% | ||
| 2025 | 0.00% | -42.11% | 0.00% | 18.18% | -38.46% | -12.50% | 0.00% | -28.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -40.00% | -50.00% |
| 2024 | 32.65% | -13.85% | 33.93% | -5.33% | 9.86% | -28.21% | -19.64% | 15.56% | -69.23% | 56.25% | -12.00% | -13.64% |
| 2023 | 38.46% | -12.50% | 9.52% | -7.25% | -9.38% | -10.34% | 7.69% | -14.29% | -20.83% | 2.63% | 25.64% | 0.00% |
| 2022 | -16.53% | 7.92% | -2.75% | -16.04% | -15.73% | -33.33% | -24.00% | -5.26% | 8.33% | 10.26% | -9.30% | 33.33% |
| 2021 | -20.13% | -9.24% | -9.26% | -10.20% | 42.05% | 2.40% | -4.69% | -3.28% | -11.86% | 15.38% | 2.50% | -1.63% |
| 2020 | -20.00% | -13.33% | 40.38% | 20.55% | 9.09% | 15.63% | 10.81% | -2.44% | -10.83% | 2.80% | 35.45% | |
| Avg | 26.85% | -14.51% | 2.49% | 5.60% | -3.79% | -13.39% | -6.09% | 1.00% | -17.04% | 12.28% | -5.06% | 0.59% |
CAMB.V - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
CAMB.V - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
CAMB.V Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
CAMB.V Distribution of Daily % Changes