Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8.50% | 9.68% | -17.02% | 22.28% | -3.73% | -9.68% | -9.05% | 14.66% | -6.39% | -10.00% | ||
| 2025 | -4.55% | -4.76% | -11.00% | 13.48% | 46.53% | 0.00% | 14.86% | 35.88% | 23.81% | -4.55% | 31.87% | 11.11% |
| 2024 | 7.30% | 2.72% | 17.22% | 2.82% | -9.34% | -15.15% | 27.86% | 5.03% | -37.77% | -3.42% | 2.65% | -5.17% |
| 2023 | 8.24% | -13.04% | 19.38% | 7.33% | -16.59% | -3.51% | -9.09% | -14.67% | -10.94% | -12.28% | 31.00% | 4.58% |
| 2022 | -3.09% | 0.35% | 4.59% | -3.04% | -11.50% | -34.25% | 40.12% | -21.79% | -6.56% | -9.36% | 5.16% | 4.29% |
| 2021 | -15.32% | -10.12% | -2.73% | -8.07% | -1.15% | -7.34% | -3.75% | 7.79% | -10.04% | 24.11% | 6.12% | -1.36% |
| 2020 | -1.35% | -19.18% | 22.88% | 6.90% | 78.06% | 30.80% | -6.37% | -10.65% | -11.26% | 15.30% | 24.60% | |
| Avg | 0.18% | -2.36% | -1.25% | 8.24% | 1.59% | 1.16% | 13.11% | 2.93% | -8.36% | -2.79% | 15.35% | 6.34% |
AMX.V - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +15.3% with a 100% win rate across 5 years of history.
Sep shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Sep averages -8.4% with only a 14% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +18.9% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -3.4% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -2.6% vs the historical average for the same point.
AMX.V - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
AMX.V Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
AMX.V Distribution of Daily % Changes