Seasonality
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Seasonality
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.78% | 11.14% | 4.18% | 4.45% | -12.18% | 5.18% | 5.12% | -8.32% | 23.88% | -1.29% | ||
| 2025 | -0.76% | -3.56% | -10.43% | 0.11% | 27.57% | 2.97% | 3.46% | 0.85% | 3.20% | 2.77% | 10.70% | 0.20% |
| 2024 | 5.19% | 7.07% | -2.84% | 3.27% | -22.20% | -1.40% | 3.87% | -4.14% | 1.42% | -3.10% | -3.97% | -10.29% |
| 2023 | 16.57% | 5.65% | 2.84% | -2.43% | -5.20% | 10.93% | 8.70% | 3.73% | 1.22% | 6.11% | -10.48% | 14.55% |
| 2022 | -5.15% | 2.30% | -15.04% | -1.82% | 22.53% | -14.42% | 3.83% | 1.63% | -11.30% | -0.86% | 12.26% | -3.48% |
| 2021 | 11.18% | 8.47% | -2.49% | 2.02% | 12.84% | 6.39% | -7.48% | 7.23% | -2.83% | 7.67% | -6.31% | 5.95% |
| 2020 | -11.67% | -49.51% | 34.52% | -3.68% | 3.16% | 13.57% | 26.62% | 0.52% | 5.13% | 35.89% | 1.92% | |
| Avg | 5.13% | 2.77% | -10.47% | 5.73% | 2.81% | 1.83% | 4.44% | 3.94% | 2.30% | 2.95% | 6.35% | 1.48% |
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +6.3% with a 50% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -10.5% with only a 29% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +10.8% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -2.6% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +20.6% vs the historical average for the same point.
WJX.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
WJX.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
WJX.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
WJX.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes