Seasonality
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Seasonality
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Jan is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Jan averages +6.1% with a 83% win rate across 5 years of history.
Dec shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Dec averages -3.3% with only a 17% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q2 (Apr–May–Jun) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q2 combine for a +5.5% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +2.8% historically, with January alone posting a 83% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +34.6% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.27% | 18.99% | -11.01% | 0.00% | 12.00% | 11.61% | -5.60% | 8.53% | 7.37% | 0.00% | ||
| 2025 | -17.86% | -0.08% | -18.19% | 11.81% | 22.71% | 13.90% | -4.64% | -6.12% | -1.53% | 6.62% | 1.52% | -1.75% |
| 2024 | 38.21% | -23.48% | 4.79% | -4.71% | 4.95% | -8.10% | 1.50% | 12.30% | -10.00% | -4.04% | -4.21% | -12.03% |
| 2023 | 12.96% | 23.67% | 8.76% | 2.97% | 10.93% | -4.25% | 0.52% | -0.31% | -0.05% | -6.15% | 5.39% | -0.11% |
| 2022 | 1.63% | -1.25% | 8.19% | -4.17% | -12.87% | -8.20% | 0.60% | -5.25% | 20.89% | 1.55% | 1.09% | -2.88% |
| 2021 | 0.29% | -3.42% | 12.09% | 1.32% | -10.65% | 7.56% | -0.32% | -5.69% | -7.36% | 1.80% | -10.91% | -3.35% |
| 2020 | -17.97% | -24.25% | 0.74% | -11.05% | 1.80% | -11.30% | 0.00% | -5.91% | -4.57% | 4.19% | 0.57% | |
| Avg | 6.08% | -0.51% | -2.80% | 1.14% | 2.29% | 2.04% | -2.75% | 0.49% | 0.49% | -0.80% | -0.49% | -3.26% |
WFC.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
WFC.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
WFC.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
WFC.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes