Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Apr is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Apr averages +7.0% with a 57% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -7.6% with only a 29% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q3 (Jul–Aug–Sep) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q3 combine for a +15.4% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -1.7% historically, with January alone posting a 17% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +0.1% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -0.75% | 6.06% | -8.57% | 12.50% | 1.39% | -5.48% | -2.42% | 5.94% | 6.07% | -7.27% | ||
| 2025 | -13.56% | -3.37% | -27.75% | -4.35% | 3.54% | -0.98% | 12.56% | 4.60% | 7.53% | 2.14% | -26.67% | 3.64% |
| 2024 | -0.52% | 6.79% | -10.27% | -0.55% | 2.74% | 25.60% | 2.76% | -7.02% | -1.56% | 0.00% | 32.28% | 17.06% |
| 2023 | 26.06% | 25.70% | 8.00% | 14.40% | -12.59% | -2.26% | -0.63% | 0.00% | -12.08% | -10.84% | 2.70% | 1.32% |
| 2022 | -6.92% | -0.88% | 15.01% | -13.63% | -13.78% | -20.88% | 13.03% | 1.73% | -12.75% | -5.19% | 3.42% | -5.96% |
| 2021 | -6.83% | 18.40% | -19.14% | 0.56% | -0.55% | 22.28% | -16.51% | 9.00% | -11.39% | -7.06% | -13.37% | -13.86% |
| 2020 | -8.74% | -10.18% | 40.00% | 35.71% | 0.35% | 30.07% | 29.84% | 49.28% | 1.94% | -4.35% | 14.51% | |
| Avg | -0.42% | 6.28% | -7.56% | 6.99% | 2.35% | 2.66% | 5.55% | 6.30% | 3.59% | -3.17% | -1.00% | 2.78% |
WELL.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
WELL.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
WELL.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
WELL.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes