Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
VLE.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
Dec is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Dec averages +41.5% with a 67% win rate across 5 years of history.
May shows persistent seasonal weakness.
May averages -8.1% with only a 29% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +67.1% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +21.6% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +101.9% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 23.47% | 9.01% | 34.06% | -9.08% | -19.37% | -3.88% | 20.38% | 8.31% | 8.55% | 17.66% | ||
| 2025 | -2.75% | 1.70% | 24.37% | -15.79% | -12.23% | 8.64% | 30.13% | -13.83% | -10.20% | -7.76% | 10.81% | 10.84% |
| 2024 | 23.24% | 12.29% | 27.48% | 11.18% | 0.54% | -23.21% | 3.02% | 14.90% | -19.84% | 10.78% | 37.61% | 16.72% |
| 2023 | 28.23% | -20.90% | 38.68% | -13.95% | -26.88% | -1.62% | 29.12% | -4.68% | 53.57% | 14.24% | -7.63% | -21.76% |
| 2022 | 0.00% | 13.64% | -8.00% | 8.70% | 22.00% | -14.75% | 0.00% | -7.69% | -4.17% | 47.83% | -5.88% | 226.56% |
| 2021 | -10.53% | -1.96% | 12.00% | -16.07% | 0.00% | 2.13% | -2.08% | -2.13% | -4.35% | 18.18% | -13.46% | -2.22% |
| 2020 | -30.61% | -32.35% | 65.22% | -21.05% | 6.67% | 12.50% | -2.78% | -11.43% | 25.81% | 23.08% | 18.75% | |
| Avg | 10.28% | -2.41% | 13.75% | 4.32% | -8.14% | -3.72% | 13.30% | -1.13% | 1.73% | 18.18% | 7.42% | 41.48% |
VLE.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
VLE.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
VLE.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes