Seasonality
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Seasonality
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VBNK.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.25% | 7.14% | -12.49% | 22.59% | 4.16% | 30.54% | -17.96% | -0.85% | 17.82% | 3.53% | ||
| 2025 | 0.89% | -8.65% | -18.38% | 3.29% | 3.34% | -1.33% | 5.62% | -8.88% | 13.48% | -1.38% | -1.19% | 23.94% |
| 2024 | 5.40% | 4.90% | -10.84% | -4.65% | -2.72% | 11.17% | 13.23% | 8.83% | -0.28% | 15.99% | 19.35% | -20.98% |
| 2023 | 3.52% | -2.20% | -2.06% | -0.55% | -5.24% | 6.38% | 15.89% | -0.52% | -7.39% | -2.49% | 4.25% | 34.63% |
| 2022 | -1.97% | -0.81% | -0.82% | -10.05% | -10.98% | -18.55% | 0.05% | 4.56% | -1.62% | -3.88% | -3.34% | 12.58% |
| 2021 | 24.09% | 46.22% | -3.39% | -3.03% | -5.86% | 5.34% | -10.62% | 2.86% | 2.23% | 5.87% | 9.07% | -6.58% |
| 2020 | -8.20% | -22.11% | 5.23% | 16.34% | -2.01% | 9.72% | 1.30% | -4.69% | -1.27% | 13.20% | 19.03% | |
| Avg | 5.86% | 5.49% | -10.01% | 1.83% | -0.14% | 4.51% | 2.28% | 1.04% | 2.79% | 2.14% | 6.89% | 10.44% |
Dec is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Dec averages +10.4% with a 67% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -10.0% with only a 0% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +19.5% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +1.3% historically, with January alone posting a 83% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +58.6% vs the historical average for the same point.
VBNK.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
VBNK.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
VBNK.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes