Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +8.8% with a 50% win rate across 5 years of history.
Jun shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Jun averages -7.0% with only a 29% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q1 (Jan–Feb–Mar) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q1 combine for a +14.5% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +14.5% historically, with January alone posting a 33% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -5.4% vs the historical average for the same point.
TXG.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.00% | 26.81% | -23.03% | -12.39% | 13.32% | -10.71% | -4.43% | 25.87% | 1.59% | -2.46% | ||
| 2025 | 8.86% | 2.47% | 26.15% | 12.05% | -1.32% | 0.82% | -12.13% | 17.37% | 26.26% | 0.17% | 13.54% | -0.14% |
| 2024 | -5.54% | 2.82% | 40.42% | -2.71% | 10.57% | -1.17% | 3.25% | 18.78% | -0.73% | 16.35% | -1.10% | -4.65% |
| 2023 | 17.62% | -8.15% | 33.87% | -1.16% | -4.54% | -11.31% | -1.70% | -15.62% | -9.48% | -5.38% | 9.20% | 0.14% |
| 2022 | -5.25% | 29.05% | -2.36% | -8.41% | -13.63% | -19.97% | -1.91% | 0.00% | 2.26% | -6.92% | 34.16% | 24.90% |
| 2021 | -11.79% | -8.43% | 2.92% | -6.24% | 18.62% | -19.09% | -1.75% | 0.50% | -10.21% | 13.67% | -2.78% | -6.00% |
| 2020 | -2.36% | -23.34% | 45.34% | -4.09% | 12.58% | 9.82% | -14.26% | -6.50% | -4.62% | -0.22% | 6.53% | |
| Avg | 0.65% | 6.03% | 7.80% | 3.78% | 2.70% | -6.98% | -1.26% | 4.66% | 0.45% | 2.21% | 8.80% | 3.46% |
TXG.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
TXG.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
TXG.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes