Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.18% | -6.40% | -4.58% | 3.16% | -16.03% | -5.86% | 1.13% | 2.14% | -4.82% | 3.80% | ||
| 2025 | -0.27% | 9.59% | -3.05% | 1.44% | 16.67% | 5.12% | 2.22% | -1.44% | 0.70% | 3.48% | -13.48% | -3.46% |
| 2024 | 1.55% | 4.90% | -0.58% | -2.53% | 0.36% | 4.31% | 6.07% | -9.15% | -1.27% | 3.84% | 7.38% | -6.83% |
| 2023 | 6.91% | 14.27% | -0.06% | 3.08% | -3.50% | 10.31% | 3.25% | 1.07% | -2.14% | -3.72% | 19.18% | 5.40% |
| 2022 | -5.12% | -6.58% | -0.16% | -5.96% | -2.59% | -1.51% | 12.06% | -1.36% | -2.51% | 10.04% | -0.17% | -2.23% |
| 2021 | 9.98% | 10.29% | 7.78% | 6.97% | -6.41% | 3.00% | 5.01% | 4.84% | -2.02% | 14.96% | 1.11% | 3.00% |
| 2020 | 1.91% | -9.82% | 13.97% | 1.39% | 1.13% | 2.86% | -1.76% | -4.17% | -5.37% | 2.30% | 5.86% | |
| Avg | 2.87% | 4.00% | -1.50% | 2.87% | -1.45% | 2.36% | 4.66% | -0.81% | -2.32% | 3.87% | 2.72% | 0.29% |
STN.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
Jul is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Jul averages +4.7% with a 100% win rate across 5 years of history.
Sep shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Sep averages -2.3% with only a 14% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +6.9% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +5.4% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -47.0% vs the historical average for the same point.
STN.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
STN.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
STN.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes