Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.25% | 4.62% | -3.51% | 6.47% | 3.28% | 5.12% | -2.00% | -6.49% | -2.24% | 1.68% | ||
| 2025 | 1.04% | 4.41% | -0.18% | 1.41% | 2.06% | -0.44% | -0.15% | 6.75% | -0.20% | 0.02% | -0.81% | -1.24% |
| 2024 | -0.31% | -5.26% | 0.76% | -3.43% | 1.06% | -0.96% | 9.74% | 7.15% | 4.79% | -5.81% | 3.83% | -4.25% |
| 2023 | 5.88% | -1.30% | -3.44% | -0.88% | -2.63% | -3.53% | 3.19% | -2.85% | -4.71% | -4.89% | 8.17% | 8.47% |
| 2022 | -4.02% | 3.99% | 3.69% | -4.22% | -5.48% | -6.04% | 6.87% | -3.76% | -6.65% | 3.47% | 3.58% | -2.05% |
| 2021 | 2.61% | 12.37% | 2.71% | 7.17% | 2.92% | 0.76% | 3.22% | 1.67% | -2.29% | 5.68% | -3.92% | 8.47% |
| 2020 | -7.91% | -34.00% | 13.97% | -5.03% | 4.81% | -2.28% | 2.04% | -1.88% | 6.09% | 15.11% | -3.55% | |
| Avg | 1.58% | 1.56% | -4.85% | 2.93% | -0.55% | -0.04% | 2.66% | 0.65% | -1.88% | 0.76% | 4.33% | 0.97% |
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +4.3% with a 67% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -4.9% with only a 43% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +6.1% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -1.7% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +3.8% vs the historical average for the same point.
SRU-UN.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
SRU-UN.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
SRU-UN.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
SRU-UN.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes