Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Jul is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Jul averages +21.7% with a 57% win rate across 5 years of history.
Feb shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Feb averages -5.6% with only a 43% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q3 (Jul–Aug–Sep) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q3 combine for a +32.2% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +6.4% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -44.9% vs the historical average for the same point.
SLVR.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
SLVR.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 12.09% | 3.92% | -20.75% | -3.57% | -3.70% | 1.28% | -2.53% | 36.36% | -17.14% | -17.24% | ||
| 2025 | 33.33% | 3.33% | 4.84% | 0.00% | 7.69% | 22.86% | 27.91% | 29.09% | 7.04% | -5.26% | 6.94% | 18.18% |
| 2024 | -5.88% | -9.38% | 6.90% | 22.58% | 31.58% | -16.00% | 14.29% | -18.75% | 38.46% | -3.70% | -3.85% | -10.00% |
| 2023 | 60.00% | -32.95% | 13.56% | -11.94% | -22.03% | -7.39% | -3.76% | -7.32% | 15.79% | -11.36% | -7.69% | -5.56% |
| 2022 | -4.23% | -11.76% | 5.00% | -23.02% | -19.59% | -34.62% | 17.65% | -21.67% | 2.13% | -10.42% | 16.28% | 10.00% |
| 2021 | -8.47% | 7.41% | -13.79% | 30.00% | 9.23% | -16.90% | -10.17% | 3.77% | -18.18% | 22.22% | 7.27% | 20.34% |
| 2020 | 0.00% | -12.50% | 28.57% | 66.67% | 53.33% | 108.70% | 16.67% | 7.14% | -6.67% | -30.36% | 51.28% | |
| Avg | 14.47% | -5.63% | -2.39% | 6.09% | 9.98% | 0.37% | 21.73% | 5.45% | 5.03% | -2.53% | -1.90% | 14.04% |
SLVR.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
SLVR.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes