Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Jul is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Jul averages +12.9% with a 71% win rate across 5 years of history.
Oct shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Oct averages -4.7% with only a 33% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q3 (Jul–Aug–Sep) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q3 combine for a +16.9% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +7.2% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +11.2% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19.17% | 33.82% | -20.31% | -4.39% | 5.66% | -9.68% | -1.61% | 21.51% | -6.35% | -7.35% | ||
| 2025 | 14.08% | 0.07% | 1.68% | 13.58% | 6.67% | 23.21% | -9.97% | 18.05% | 11.34% | -11.47% | 27.77% | 12.45% |
| 2024 | -5.27% | -18.17% | 24.60% | 4.33% | -7.23% | 21.72% | 22.48% | 15.24% | 10.91% | 17.75% | -2.37% | -5.37% |
| 2023 | 9.99% | -10.97% | 17.28% | 10.14% | -20.61% | -11.74% | 6.57% | -1.47% | -7.45% | -19.48% | 21.60% | 6.09% |
| 2022 | 6.30% | -5.50% | 5.14% | -14.74% | -26.90% | -21.57% | 3.68% | -11.21% | 3.19% | -4.95% | 20.36% | -2.44% |
| 2021 | -9.59% | 0.00% | 3.22% | 11.53% | 6.15% | -14.47% | 26.62% | -12.03% | -13.26% | 3.42% | -5.77% | 7.60% |
| 2020 | -20.79% | 0.00% | 25.00% | 19.00% | 63.03% | 42.78% | 6.86% | -7.77% | -13.19% | 5.06% | 38.15% | |
| Avg | 5.78% | -3.08% | 4.52% | 6.49% | -2.47% | 7.21% | 12.93% | 5.28% | -1.34% | -4.65% | 11.11% | 9.41% |
SKE.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
SKE.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
SKE.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
SKE.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes