Seasonality
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Seasonality
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7.56% | 9.95% | 17.02% | 6.94% | -5.56% | -1.46% | 12.62% | 7.96% | -0.70% | 20.71% | ||
| 2025 | -5.51% | -0.14% | 15.13% | -23.27% | 14.82% | 15.66% | 21.15% | -5.27% | 2.77% | -5.75% | 12.42% | -6.31% |
| 2024 | -1.55% | 7.88% | 13.98% | -2.61% | -1.87% | -3.02% | 0.78% | -6.65% | -6.98% | -1.62% | -2.50% | 2.18% |
| 2023 | 7.58% | -9.32% | 0.23% | 0.23% | -14.40% | -5.20% | 18.21% | 0.74% | 12.03% | 3.24% | -18.70% | -15.33% |
| 2022 | 42.63% | 22.26% | 15.21% | 11.06% | 17.28% | -20.78% | 11.93% | -0.47% | -22.15% | 31.44% | -2.28% | -8.16% |
| 2021 | 3.33% | 64.52% | 19.61% | -11.48% | 5.56% | 17.54% | -19.40% | -10.02% | 26.15% | 3.45% | -25.23% | 9.43% |
| 2020 | -12.26% | -74.60% | 27.27% | -3.57% | 25.93% | -5.88% | -6.25% | -36.67% | 5.26% | 50.00% | 0.00% | |
| Avg | 9.01% | 11.84% | 0.94% | 1.17% | 1.75% | 4.09% | 5.63% | -2.85% | -3.65% | 6.00% | 2.28% | -3.03% |
SGY.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
SGY.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes
SGY.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
Feb is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Feb averages +11.8% with a 57% win rate across 5 years of history.
Sep shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Sep averages -3.6% with only a 43% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q1 (Jan–Feb–Mar) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q1 combine for a +21.8% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +21.8% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 205 of the year, the current YTD return is +56.3% vs the historical average for the same point.
SGY.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years