Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Mar is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Mar averages +42.1% with a 71% win rate across 5 years of history.
May shows persistent seasonal weakness.
May averages -5.6% with only a 43% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q1 (Jan–Feb–Mar) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q1 combine for a +47.8% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +47.8% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -93.7% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -1.84% | 12.85% | -27.82% | 3.96% | 6.65% | -16.70% | 4.91% | 29.37% | -2.59% | -17.94% | ||
| 2025 | 5.68% | 20.00% | 32.10% | -5.84% | -5.58% | 9.86% | 14.23% | -0.21% | 16.47% | 9.10% | 27.75% | 12.22% |
| 2024 | 16.77% | -8.65% | 14.20% | -4.98% | 3.49% | -10.62% | -17.74% | 18.12% | 9.32% | 3.91% | -8.55% | -4.49% |
| 2023 | -11.53% | -0.77% | 5.02% | 2.94% | 1.79% | 30.18% | 33.15% | -0.40% | 3.25% | -12.80% | 4.97% | 6.45% |
| 2022 | 11.11% | 6.25% | 14.12% | 13.40% | -18.18% | 20.00% | 62.04% | 65.71% | 8.62% | -12.38% | 14.86% | -6.94% |
| 2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 256.76% | -6.06% | -27.42% | -15.56% | -9.21% | 8.70% | 20.00% | 55.56% | -22.86% | 33.33% |
| 2020 | -13.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -3.85% | 20.00% | -33.33% | 2.50% | -2.44% | -7.50% | 0.00% | |
| Avg | 3.36% | 2.34% | 42.05% | 0.49% | -5.61% | 1.90% | 15.34% | 12.56% | 8.23% | 6.82% | 1.44% | 6.76% |
SGD.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
SGD.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
SGD.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
SGD.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes