Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Jul is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Jul averages +8.2% with a 86% win rate across 5 years of history.
Jun shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Jun averages -4.4% with only a 29% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q3 (Jul–Aug–Sep) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q3 combine for a +12.0% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -0.2% historically, with January alone posting a 33% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 205 of the year, the current YTD return is -7.0% vs the historical average for the same point.
SEA.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
SEA.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
SEA.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -5.38% | 39.61% | -26.60% | -3.90% | 22.87% | -16.00% | -1.26% | 22.05% | -8.48% | -10.85% | ||
| 2025 | 8.96% | -12.26% | 6.82% | 2.27% | -1.63% | 17.33% | 7.23% | 13.11% | 39.99% | -0.33% | 17.96% | 3.09% |
| 2024 | -12.02% | 8.85% | 33.16% | 0.68% | 4.75% | -13.43% | 22.51% | 3.49% | -4.09% | 6.68% | -16.24% | -19.29% |
| 2023 | 2.94% | -14.40% | 16.49% | 8.83% | -3.00% | -13.30% | 5.20% | -5.60% | -9.96% | 6.23% | 10.61% | -4.29% |
| 2022 | -2.44% | 7.45% | 5.75% | -1.99% | -21.36% | -10.69% | 10.16% | -9.45% | 3.27% | -11.44% | 15.33% | 1.31% |
| 2021 | -7.51% | -12.31% | -6.49% | 2.36% | 10.97% | -5.85% | 4.01% | 0.44% | -14.02% | 17.12% | 8.01% | -15.32% |
| 2020 | -28.46% | -0.68% | 48.44% | 10.26% | 10.94% | 9.35% | -4.68% | 0.76% | 2.56% | -5.84% | 10.75% | |
| Avg | -2.57% | -1.65% | 4.06% | 8.10% | 3.27% | -4.43% | 8.17% | 2.77% | 1.07% | 3.47% | 4.97% | -3.96% |
SEA.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data