Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
May is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
May averages +22.1% with a 86% win rate across 5 years of history.
Feb shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Feb averages -7.4% with only a 43% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +27.4% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +14.6% historically, with January alone posting a 33% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -104.8% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 23.36% | 4.41% | -29.05% | -11.99% | 6.67% | -18.94% | -1.96% | 43.35% | -2.78% | -22.35% | ||
| 2025 | 35.71% | 2.63% | 38.46% | -7.41% | 42.00% | 45.07% | 10.68% | 56.14% | 55.06% | -27.90% | 21.11% | 37.24% |
| 2024 | -4.00% | -12.50% | 19.05% | 8.00% | 74.07% | -23.40% | 5.56% | -18.42% | 9.68% | 8.82% | -18.92% | -6.67% |
| 2023 | -2.44% | -20.00% | 53.13% | -26.53% | 11.11% | -20.00% | -6.25% | -20.00% | -20.83% | 10.53% | 23.81% | -3.85% |
| 2022 | -9.68% | 10.71% | 61.29% | -16.00% | -7.14% | -23.08% | 33.33% | -7.50% | -5.41% | 34.29% | -6.38% | -6.82% |
| 2021 | -4.26% | -15.56% | -15.79% | 43.75% | 19.57% | -21.82% | -2.33% | -14.29% | -25.00% | 11.11% | -6.67% | 10.71% |
| 2020 | -21.43% | -18.18% | 33.33% | 8.33% | 38.46% | 61.11% | 3.45% | -20.00% | 8.33% | 7.69% | 67.86% | |
| Avg | 6.45% | -7.39% | 15.56% | 3.31% | 22.09% | -3.39% | 14.31% | 6.10% | -1.33% | 7.53% | 3.44% | 16.41% |
SCZ.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
SCZ.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
SCZ.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
SCZ.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes