Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +8.8% with a 83% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -4.8% with only a 43% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +14.0% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -0.1% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +92.1% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 10.16% | 0.45% | -0.08% | 10.15% | 18.96% | -3.67% | 11.82% | 10.34% | 22.65% | -2.67% | ||
| 2025 | -3.40% | 1.92% | -4.19% | 1.76% | 3.73% | 6.77% | 1.21% | -5.29% | 0.19% | 4.15% | -5.03% | 7.35% |
| 2024 | -2.09% | 1.74% | 1.35% | -13.98% | -4.62% | 1.91% | 7.70% | -5.17% | 9.03% | -5.53% | 19.67% | -8.40% |
| 2023 | 12.61% | 10.93% | -3.49% | 0.50% | 4.43% | 3.03% | 5.75% | 4.61% | -5.40% | -9.13% | 11.96% | 17.63% |
| 2022 | -5.68% | 0.22% | 5.48% | 3.38% | -6.22% | -17.97% | 5.76% | 4.53% | -9.51% | 9.81% | 3.92% | -0.59% |
| 2021 | 1.01% | 9.58% | 0.85% | 12.77% | 18.49% | 2.61% | 3.93% | -1.52% | -11.46% | 7.44% | 2.67% | 1.48% |
| 2020 | -6.53% | -33.55% | 15.20% | -0.44% | 10.79% | 10.60% | 6.47% | -2.99% | -2.42% | 19.54% | 9.23% | |
| Avg | 2.10% | 2.62% | -4.81% | 4.25% | 4.90% | 0.50% | 6.68% | 1.99% | 0.36% | 0.72% | 8.79% | 4.45% |
RUS.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
RUS.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
RUS.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
RUS.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes