Seasonality
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Seasonality
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Jan is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Jan averages +15.6% with a 80% win rate across 5 years of history.
May shows persistent seasonal weakness.
May averages -8.6% with only a 20% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q1 (Jan–Feb–Mar) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q1 combine for a +29.7% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +29.7% historically, with January alone posting a 80% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +73.8% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8.33% | 5.77% | 28.73% | -2.54% | -9.28% | 3.83% | 43.38% | -2.79% | -11.26% | 14.18% | ||
| 2025 | -3.77% | -5.39% | 0.52% | -11.34% | 2.91% | 10.17% | 9.74% | 7.48% | -1.74% | 17.70% | -8.65% | -1.23% |
| 2024 | 15.42% | -0.86% | 13.04% | 0.77% | -8.40% | -3.33% | -4.31% | 11.71% | -8.06% | -10.53% | 9.31% | -4.93% |
| 2023 | 26.49% | 3.85% | -3.29% | -5.53% | -20.72% | -4.55% | 19.05% | 7.50% | 8.84% | 11.97% | -14.12% | -10.67% |
| 2022 | 31.70% | 7.80% | 20.13% | 18.59% | -7.73% | -22.01% | 7.36% | -17.14% | -18.28% | 10.97% | -11.41% | -20.60% |
| 2021 | 16.00% | -13.03% | -1.32% | |||||||||
| Avg | 15.63% | 2.23% | 11.82% | -0.01% | -8.64% | -3.18% | 15.05% | 1.35% | -6.10% | 9.22% | -7.58% | -7.75% |
RBY.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
RBY.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
RBY.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
RBY.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes