Seasonality
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Seasonality
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Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -2.67% | 2.74% | 8.19% | 6.71% | -2.67% | -2.13% | 0.00% | 4.36% | -1.53% | 2.14% | ||
| 2025 | -4.11% | 4.31% | 4.41% | -10.56% | 15.32% | -9.61% | 5.92% | -8.36% | 4.67% | 3.80% | 8.87% | -6.41% |
| 2024 | -0.36% | 0.85% | 3.95% | -8.78% | -7.39% | 6.51% | 1.53% | -3.81% | 5.65% | 0.75% | -1.21% | -3.34% |
| 2023 | 2.48% | -0.83% | -1.52% | 10.03% | 2.50% | 6.79% | -3.03% | -5.45% | -5.75% | 5.47% | 4.24% | 6.92% |
| 2022 | -10.62% | 3.95% | -0.29% | 4.94% | -10.68% | -2.32% | 9.76% | 9.58% | 0.34% | 1.68% | 13.53% | -1.05% |
| 2021 | -4.97% | 2.03% | 7.04% | 3.27% | 1.05% | -3.58% | 5.31% | -3.86% | -1.63% | -11.53% | 6.30% | 5.08% |
| 2020 | -3.50% | -25.98% | 21.00% | 9.31% | 0.97% | 0.07% | -4.35% | 6.27% | -8.49% | 8.02% | 4.70% | |
| Avg | -3.37% | 1.36% | -0.60% | 3.80% | 1.06% | -0.48% | 2.79% | -1.70% | 1.15% | -1.39% | 6.63% | 0.98% |
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +6.6% with a 83% win rate across 5 years of history.
Jan shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Jan averages -3.4% with only a 17% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +6.2% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -2.6% historically, with January alone posting a 17% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +11.4% vs the historical average for the same point.
QSP-UN.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
QSP-UN.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
QSP-UN.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
QSP-UN.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes