Seasonality
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Seasonality
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Dec is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Dec averages +13.8% with a 67% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -4.6% with only a 14% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +26.7% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -0.7% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +28.1% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 15.75% | 6.01% | -1.28% | 10.70% | -6.41% | -7.34% | 5.66% | 0.93% | 0.07% | -2.69% | ||
| 2025 | 0.87% | -2.30% | -2.50% | -1.81% | -0.15% | 9.38% | -2.81% | 13.60% | 10.06% | 3.24% | 2.53% | 28.96% |
| 2024 | -2.44% | 5.00% | 5.95% | 1.12% | -7.78% | -1.20% | -6.10% | -3.90% | -1.35% | 2.74% | 4.21% | -9.21% |
| 2023 | 5.88% | -2.78% | 0.00% | 1.43% | -8.45% | 0.00% | 1.54% | -1.52% | 7.69% | -5.71% | -0.16% | 28.13% |
| 2022 | -11.54% | 8.70% | -1.33% | 8.11% | -2.50% | -6.41% | -6.85% | 0.00% | -4.41% | 3.08% | 5.63% | -1.45% |
| 2021 | 1.30% | 5.13% | -7.32% | -1.32% | -6.67% | -5.71% | -4.55% | 11.11% | 0.00% | 14.29% | -1.96% | 1.30% |
| 2020 | -4.26% | -25.56% | 25.37% | 2.38% | -16.28% | 13.89% | 6.10% | -10.34% | -6.41% | 56.16% | 35.09% | |
| Avg | 1.64% | 2.22% | -4.58% | 6.23% | -4.23% | -3.94% | 0.11% | 3.76% | 0.25% | 1.87% | 11.07% | 13.80% |
QRC.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
QRC.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
QRC.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
QRC.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes