Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Jan is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Jan averages +6.9% with a 67% win rate across 5 years of history.
Aug shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Aug averages -4.5% with only a 43% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +8.9% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +8.5% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +58.8% vs the historical average for the same point.
PXT.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9.49% | 5.64% | 30.02% | 4.68% | -15.97% | -9.75% | 13.51% | 17.46% | -5.18% | 12.93% | ||
| 2025 | -5.01% | 1.80% | -1.83% | -17.29% | 22.25% | 5.24% | 18.19% | 5.23% | 7.54% | -1.37% | 3.12% | 1.77% |
| 2024 | -10.78% | -1.62% | 0.62% | 10.91% | -6.79% | -0.28% | -5.52% | -34.67% | -8.63% | 7.75% | 15.78% | -0.02% |
| 2023 | 12.41% | -1.81% | 14.81% | 9.43% | -0.65% | -1.47% | 9.98% | -12.46% | 1.21% | 4.28% | 4.70% | -8.96% |
| 2022 | 25.13% | 3.37% | -7.76% | -2.38% | 11.86% | -21.47% | 9.36% | -11.87% | -2.87% | 3.02% | -7.31% | 6.06% |
| 2021 | 10.45% | 5.12% | 10.18% | 3.30% | -8.77% | -1.99% | -0.97% | -5.17% | 19.24% | 4.30% | -13.81% | 6.14% |
| 2020 | -12.36% | -35.19% | 28.24% | 1.44% | 5.68% | -0.98% | 10.19% | -21.40% | -7.56% | 37.24% | -1.57% | |
| Avg | 6.95% | 0.02% | 1.55% | 5.27% | 0.48% | -3.43% | 6.22% | -4.47% | -1.44% | 1.74% | 6.62% | 0.57% |
PXT.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
PXT.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
PXT.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes