Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
PSK.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +6.3% with a 83% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -2.6% with only a 71% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +8.5% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +5.5% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +17.9% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9.66% | 5.06% | 4.26% | 6.55% | -4.02% | -2.80% | 9.23% | 5.68% | -9.30% | 11.28% | ||
| 2025 | -3.46% | -1.70% | -1.46% | -10.56% | -0.30% | 3.22% | 0.89% | 1.01% | 8.33% | -2.48% | 6.55% | 1.71% |
| 2024 | -4.40% | 9.24% | 10.57% | -1.13% | 5.64% | -5.27% | 6.73% | 0.61% | -0.63% | 1.35% | 6.71% | -4.87% |
| 2023 | 5.35% | -6.26% | 0.99% | -0.09% | 6.55% | 2.73% | 13.17% | -1.37% | -2.52% | -2.44% | 2.38% | -5.98% |
| 2022 | 20.03% | 4.77% | 1.57% | 1.97% | 7.43% | -13.80% | 15.92% | -4.74% | 0.18% | 18.81% | 4.25% | -0.52% |
| 2021 | 4.66% | 22.16% | 5.54% | -2.73% | 0.76% | 13.51% | -6.86% | -1.00% | -1.76% | 12.73% | -8.34% | -1.71% |
| 2020 | -13.75% | -39.75% | 37.01% | -10.81% | -4.82% | -1.98% | 12.25% | -11.35% | -1.68% | 26.19% | -1.55% | |
| Avg | 5.31% | 2.79% | -2.61% | 4.43% | 0.75% | -1.03% | 5.30% | 1.78% | -2.43% | 4.38% | 6.29% | -2.15% |
PSK.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
PSK.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
PSK.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes