Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -1.40% | 1.37% | -2.50% | 4.59% | 5.95% | 3.18% | 1.25% | -5.10% | -0.47% | 3.17% | ||
| 2025 | 0.70% | 1.49% | -4.19% | 0.16% | 11.16% | 3.40% | 2.07% | 2.40% | -0.21% | 4.46% | 4.96% | 4.91% |
| 2024 | 17.79% | -7.04% | 7.36% | -7.33% | 1.75% | -4.74% | 7.01% | 5.82% | 9.82% | -2.60% | -0.39% | -5.90% |
| 2023 | 9.70% | -2.64% | -4.94% | -6.09% | -7.10% | 3.48% | 2.44% | -6.05% | -13.30% | 0.89% | 6.93% | 5.92% |
| 2022 | 1.31% | -0.61% | 10.92% | -4.45% | 1.68% | -13.28% | 4.66% | -0.35% | -9.61% | 3.11% | 8.85% | -5.38% |
| 2021 | -1.85% | 3.17% | 5.41% | 1.85% | 5.42% | 3.68% | 0.55% | 1.99% | -4.03% | 1.31% | -6.68% | 8.56% |
| 2020 | -4.98% | -47.19% | 16.66% | 1.86% | 2.07% | 7.83% | 10.77% | -6.75% | 3.61% | 21.10% | 5.14% | |
| Avg | 4.37% | -1.32% | -5.02% | 0.77% | 2.96% | -0.32% | 3.69% | 1.36% | -3.51% | 1.80% | 5.79% | 2.21% |
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +5.8% with a 67% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -5.0% with only a 43% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +9.8% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -2.0% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +1.7% vs the historical average for the same point.
PRV-UN.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
PRV-UN.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
PRV-UN.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
PRV-UN.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes