Seasonality
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Seasonality
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POW.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +7.2% with a 83% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -2.1% with only a 43% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +9.7% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -0.3% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +16.6% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -5.87% | -0.22% | -1.27% | 13.16% | 9.96% | 6.93% | 8.35% | -4.13% | -1.26% | 2.65% | ||
| 2025 | -1.76% | 11.46% | 4.88% | 2.56% | 1.78% | 1.30% | 4.98% | 4.10% | 4.69% | 9.10% | 8.30% | 3.39% |
| 2024 | 3.43% | 0.05% | -1.69% | -3.42% | 7.88% | -2.50% | 5.10% | 3.53% | 4.48% | 3.16% | 7.16% | -3.72% |
| 2023 | 13.31% | 0.91% | -3.70% | 5.07% | -3.17% | 3.00% | 4.77% | -1.23% | -4.88% | -3.38% | 12.39% | 2.32% |
| 2022 | -2.25% | -4.33% | 0.26% | -2.33% | -3.36% | -7.98% | 5.07% | -2.96% | -6.37% | 8.67% | 0.03% | -4.41% |
| 2021 | 1.85% | 3.06% | 9.13% | 8.39% | 9.92% | 0.70% | 1.63% | 9.34% | -3.08% | -1.27% | -0.02% | 2.62% |
| 2020 | -9.03% | -22.03% | -1.68% | 0.67% | 8.58% | -0.46% | 9.55% | 1.86% | -2.76% | 15.25% | 1.51% | |
| Avg | 1.45% | 0.27% | -2.06% | 3.11% | 3.38% | 1.43% | 4.21% | 2.60% | -0.65% | 2.25% | 7.18% | 0.29% |
POW.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
POW.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
POW.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes