Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.29% | 1.69% | -6.63% | 8.86% | 0.41% | 2.43% | 1.65% | -5.47% | -4.78% | -0.14% | ||
| 2025 | -3.35% | -1.99% | -3.58% | -1.71% | 10.49% | 2.90% | 1.76% | 4.13% | -1.11% | 2.78% | -1.61% | 3.42% |
| 2024 | 0.27% | -5.70% | 2.05% | -8.46% | 2.35% | -3.22% | 15.08% | 9.72% | 4.88% | -6.11% | -2.76% | -2.48% |
| 2023 | 12.08% | 2.64% | -10.71% | 2.30% | -14.70% | 1.47% | -2.21% | -1.42% | -10.24% | -8.83% | 14.50% | 10.20% |
| 2022 | -5.27% | 4.06% | 4.00% | 0.72% | -7.61% | -17.30% | 6.34% | -0.37% | -17.20% | 6.61% | 22.52% | -10.23% |
| 2021 | 4.24% | 6.83% | 7.67% | 5.48% | 10.81% | 9.71% | 6.23% | 4.33% | -11.60% | 8.51% | ||
| Avg | 0.80% | 0.14% | -1.77% | 1.42% | -0.23% | -1.37% | 5.57% | 2.72% | -3.70% | -0.25% | 4.21% | 1.88% |
NXR-UN.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
NXR-UN.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes
Jul is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Jul averages +5.6% with a 83% win rate across 5 years of history.
Sep shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Sep averages -3.7% with only a 33% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +5.8% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -0.8% historically, with January alone posting a 60% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -6.1% vs the historical average for the same point.
NXR-UN.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
NXR-UN.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data