Seasonality
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Seasonality
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NICU.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19.93% | -10.32% | -27.16% | -0.44% | 2.64% | -10.30% | 5.26% | 18.64% | -6.51% | -18.85% | ||
| 2025 | 27.21% | -2.89% | -7.14% | -10.26% | 8.57% | 13.16% | 0.58% | 40.46% | 9.05% | 1.51% | 0.74% | 7.38% |
| 2024 | -20.54% | -7.87% | 48.78% | 36.07% | -3.61% | -10.00% | -2.78% | 15.71% | 50.62% | -8.20% | 30.36% | -6.85% |
| 2023 | 19.10% | 10.38% | -12.82% | -14.71% | -28.74% | -3.23% | 21.67% | -17.81% | -13.33% | -19.23% | 8.33% | 23.08% |
| 2022 | -2.33% | 0.00% | 10.71% | 5.38% | -16.33% | -15.85% | -20.29% | 5.45% | 1.72% | 6.78% | 106.35% | 36.92% |
| 2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 544.44% | -22.41% | -10.44% | 6.70% | -20.93% | 14.71% | -2.56% | 13.16% |
| 2020 | -14.29% | -33.33% | -10.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | |||||||
| Avg | 7.23% | -1.78% | 2.06% | 2.67% | 84.50% | -8.11% | -1.00% | 7.84% | -1.82% | -2.41% | 23.87% | 12.28% |
May is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
May averages +84.5% with a 50% win rate across 5 years of history.
Jun shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Jun averages -8.1% with only a 17% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q2 (Apr–May–Jun) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q2 combine for a +79.1% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +7.5% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -98.9% vs the historical average for the same point.
NICU.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
NICU.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
NICU.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes