Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.55% | -4.20% | 4.57% | -0.30% | 1.07% | 5.88% | -2.43% | 3.08% | 1.86% | -3.52% | ||
| 2025 | 1.63% | -1.43% | 0.73% | 1.63% | 6.80% | -2.86% | -1.57% | 2.65% | 0.53% | 1.21% | 2.57% | 7.22% |
| 2024 | -0.38% | 1.32% | 0.56% | -0.56% | 1.32% | -0.75% | 1.32% | 0.19% | 7.30% | -2.10% | -0.90% | 2.03% |
| 2023 | 3.21% | 1.11% | 0.55% | -3.09% | 2.07% | 0.75% | -0.55% | 3.91% | -2.52% | -3.15% | 1.15% | 2.10% |
| 2022 | 0.01% | 1.31% | -1.10% | 4.66% | -4.10% | -3.55% | -1.17% | 0.20% | 2.98% | -0.77% | 1.76% | 2.52% |
| 2021 | 0.20% | -6.35% | 9.40% | -1.46% | 17.40% | 6.22% | -3.02% | 0.16% | -7.51% | -2.71% | -10.15% | 6.58% |
| 2020 | -9.17% | -53.97% | 13.87% | -11.60% | 2.17% | -3.89% | -4.09% | -7.91% | -0.26% | 39.61% | -7.02% | |
| Avg | 1.54% | -2.49% | -5.61% | 2.11% | 1.85% | 1.12% | -1.61% | 0.87% | -0.75% | -1.30% | 5.67% | 2.24% |
Nov is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Nov averages +5.7% with a 67% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -5.6% with only a 71% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q4 (Oct–Nov–Dec) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q4 combine for a +6.6% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -6.6% historically, with January alone posting a 83% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +4.1% vs the historical average for the same point.
MRT-UN.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
MRT-UN.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
MRT-UN.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
MRT-UN.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes