Seasonality
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Seasonality
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Feb is the seasonally strongest month over 4Y.
Feb averages +5.1% with a 50% win rate across 4 years of history.
Apr shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Apr averages -4.7% with only a 0% win rate across 4 years of history.
Q1 (Jan–Feb–Mar) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q1 combine for a +8.0% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +8.0% historically, with January alone posting a 50% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 4Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +3.0% vs the historical average for the same point.
MHC-UN.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 4 years
MHC-UN.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
4 years of data
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -2.53% | -0.74% | 0.75% | -3.70% | 5.00% | 11.17% | -1.15% | 2.00% | -5.20% | 3.03% | ||
| 2025 | 0.63% | 2.91% | 12.58% | -3.50% | 7.08% | -2.77% | 3.05% | -1.00% | 6.26% | -2.02% | -2.60% | 10.36% |
| 2024 | 5.69% | -1.17% | 7.54% | -9.81% | -3.62% | -5.65% | 3.15% | 4.60% | 0.73% | 0.25% | 8.79% | -5.83% |
| 2023 | -3.46% | 19.28% | -9.42% | -1.79% | -4.99% | 2.80% | -1.13% | 3.04% | -5.69% | 1.16% | -1.02% | 2.34% |
| 2022 | 1.21% | 5.22% | -4.50% | -1.57% | 12.16% | -0.65% | ||||||
| Avg | 0.08% | 5.07% | 2.86% | -4.70% | 0.87% | 1.39% | 1.03% | 2.77% | -1.68% | -0.54% | 4.33% | 1.55% |
MHC-UN.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2022 to 2026
MHC-UN.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes