Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
May is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
May averages +13.2% with a 71% win rate across 5 years of history.
Mar shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Mar averages -10.8% with only a 43% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q2 (Apr–May–Jun) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q2 combine for a +26.5% average return historically.
Q1 historically shows a slow seasonal start.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages -5.4% historically, with January alone posting a 83% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking above the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is +139.9% vs the historical average for the same point.
MATR.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.01% | 3.89% | 6.56% | 4.73% | 34.52% | 0.39% | 33.49% | 4.19% | 20.06% | -4.00% | ||
| 2025 | -7.59% | -11.22% | -1.25% | -7.03% | -0.84% | 27.22% | 2.33% | -6.67% | -6.54% | 2.05% | -30.80% | 5.42% |
| 2024 | 7.32% | -7.13% | 17.54% | -8.16% | 2.76% | -0.24% | 4.96% | -10.94% | -9.28% | -14.32% | 6.34% | -2.17% |
| 2023 | 3.35% | -1.41% | -11.14% | -1.93% | 31.15% | 19.75% | 4.91% | -7.31% | -14.71% | -8.62% | -4.61% | 9.46% |
| 2022 | 20.37% | -0.85% | -13.99% | -3.57% | 34.16% | -12.42% | 1.93% | 35.05% | 8.65% | 16.39% | 25.55% | 10.10% |
| 2021 | 14.77% | 26.49% | 3.91% | 9.79% | 2.92% | -1.50% | -16.24% | 0.40% | 13.88% | -5.83% | -10.32% | 2.72% |
| 2020 | -19.96% | -77.32% | 14.61% | -12.25% | 51.40% | -2.21% | 7.92% | -26.92% | 3.83% | 48.39% | 9.32% | |
| Avg | 6.87% | -1.45% | -10.81% | 1.20% | 13.20% | 12.09% | 4.17% | 3.23% | -2.12% | -1.08% | 5.76% | 5.81% |
MATR.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data
MATR.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
MATR.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes