Seasonality
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Seasonality
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Sep is the seasonally strongest month over 3Y.
Sep averages +30.1% with a 67% win rate across 3 years of history.
Dec shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Dec averages -16.8% with only a 0% win rate across 3 years of history.
Q3 (Jul–Aug–Sep) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q3 combine for a +25.3% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +1.4% historically, with January alone posting a 67% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 3Y seasonal average.
At day 205 of the year, the current YTD return is -28.5% vs the historical average for the same point.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 10.89% | 4.23% | -19.86% | 41.05% | -7.69% | -24.17% | -26.56% | 7.48% | -12.99% | -25.07% | ||
| 2025 | 1.16% | -11.72% | 1.30% | 1.80% | -7.32% | -0.82% | -1.92% | 15.13% | 93.43% | -2.77% | 2.07% | -24.33% |
| 2024 | -31.06% | 27.30% | 21.98% | -32.97% | -23.93% | -21.55% | 2.75% | -11.23% | 9.94% | 55.07% | -0.88% | -23.35% |
| 2023 | -6.23% | -2.63% | ||||||||||
| Avg | -6.34% | 6.60% | 1.14% | 3.29% | -12.98% | -15.51% | -8.58% | 3.79% | 30.13% | 26.15% | -1.68% | -16.77% |
LAC.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 3 years
LAC.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2023 to 2026
LAC.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
3 years of data
LAC.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes