Seasonality
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Seasonality
Sign in to unlock 10Y & 20Y views
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 10.69% | -12.86% | -10.97% | -10.61% | -6.04% | 5.52% | -6.74% | 29.90% | -6.80% | 8.70% | ||
| 2025 | 5.46% | -0.56% | 36.43% | -5.31% | 21.89% | 9.27% | 12.56% | -1.69% | -3.51% | -12.56% | 5.07% | 22.86% |
| 2024 | -2.24% | 9.67% | -5.08% | -11.34% | 18.65% | 28.29% | 16.10% | 10.25% | -7.11% | -0.98% | -8.92% | -8.27% |
| 2023 | 28.36% | 18.31% | 10.32% | 18.04% | -13.02% | 1.95% | 11.70% | -3.62% | -1.98% | 0.20% | 5.23% | 19.31% |
| 2022 | -5.17% | -3.64% | -1.89% | -13.46% | -8.44% | 6.80% | 5.91% | 12.45% | 2.67% | -6.32% | 0.40% | 5.93% |
| 2021 | 6.32% | 0.12% | -1.70% | -11.59% | 3.07% | -18.94% | -38.90% | 27.05% | -27.53% | -27.00% | 17.89% | |
| Avg | 7.42% | 2.87% | 4.82% | -4.06% | 0.24% | 9.15% | 3.43% | 1.40% | 1.72% | -9.44% | -5.04% | 11.54% |
KITS.TO - Average returns for the respective month in the last 5 years
KITS.TO Distribution of Daily Returns from 2021 to 2026
KITS.TO Distribution of Daily % Changes
Dec is the seasonally strongest month over 5Y.
Dec averages +11.5% with a 80% win rate across 5 years of history.
Oct shows persistent seasonal weakness.
Oct averages -9.4% with only a 20% win rate across 5 years of history.
Q1 (Jan–Feb–Mar) is the seasonally strongest quarter.
The three months of Q1 combine for a +15.1% average return historically.
January Effect: Q1 historically opens the year positively.
Q1 (Jan–Mar) averages +15.1% historically, with January alone posting a 60% win rate.
2026 YTD is tracking below the 5Y seasonal average.
At day 204 of the year, the current YTD return is -48.1% vs the historical average for the same point.
KITS.TO - Average growth of $100 invested at start of year
5 years of data